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Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Hurricane Season 2010

The hurricane season for 2010 starts June 3rd and forecasters are predicting 5 storms with hurricane force winds along the East and Gulf coasts of the United States.
Some forecasters are saying that the weather pattern setting up now on the Atlantic are similar to those in 1995,1998,and 2005. Also bearing some likeness to 2008. All were very high impact years,with 2005 being the worst(27 named storms). @005 had one we all remember I am sure, Katrina.
AccuWeather.com is predicting 17 named Atlantic storms this season, with 10 storms reaching hurricane force. Four are predicted to be major category 3 or above status,with winds of 111mph or higher.
Colorado State University is predicting 15 named storms in 2010, 8 hurricanes,4 major.
The National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration forecast will be out later this month.
The 2009 hurricane season was quiet compared to other hurricane seasons as there were only 9 named storms. 3 reached hurricane force and 2 were major.
The El Nino conditions last season are being credited with the relative quiet season.El Ninos bring above-normal sea surface temperatures to the eastern and central tropical Pacific Ocean Those rise in temperatures alter weather patterns across broad stretches of the Pacific, the Americas,and beyond. Another effect of El Nino is the suppression of tropical storm and hurricane formation in the Atlantic.El Nino has also has been credited with the record snowfall in the Mid-Atlantic states this winter season.
Many forecasters now believe El Nino has receded and is being replaced by La Nina. La Nina means below-normal sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific and a more active hurricane season in the Atlantic. La Nina does not act alone another factor forecasters expect to help is a decade -long cycle of higher sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic,where many of the tropical storms start.
As soon as the National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration posts its forecast I will post it.
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